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Manage Your Finances

The Stock Picker's Playbook

Three tools for putting money to work — in the order you should think about them.

  1. 1
    Build your index-fund core. An allocation builder that drafts your target mix and the specific tickers for your brokerage. This is where most of your money belongs.
  2. 2
    Run the stock picker (optional, for the small hands-on slice). A nightly screen of 400+ U.S. stocks scored on six research-backed factors, with an AI-written "what could go wrong" note on each top pick. Use it for at most 5–10% of your money — never the bulk.
  3. 3
    Confirm the account-funding order. Which fund you pick matters less than which account holds it. The list below shows which account to fill first, second, third, and so on, based on 2026 IRS limits.

All free, all evidence-based, no upsell. Educational only — not investment advice. Always verify before making decisions.

Step 1 · The core sleeve

Most of your money belongs in index funds

For typical investors, 80–95% of investment dollars should sit in low-cost, broadly diversified index funds. Over any 20-year stretch the S&P 500 has beaten most actively managed funds after fees. Tell the builder four things and it will draft your target mix using the 120-minus-age and 65/35 domestic/international guidelines Vanguard and Fidelity use for their target-date funds.

25 years
Asset class Target Ticker Dollars

Rebalance once a year, or whenever a sleeve drifts more than five percentage points from its target. The simplest way: direct new contributions toward whatever's underweight.

Step 2 · The optional hands-on slice

A nightly screen for the stocks you want to pick yourself

Stock picking is for the small slice of your portfolio where you want to be hands-on — usually no more than 5–10% of what you invest. Only pick a stock if you have a real reason: you understand the business better than the market does, you want exposure to a kind of company that index funds blend away, or you just want a small practice account. The screen below ranks 400+ U.S. stocks every night on six research-backed factors, filters out financially shaky companies, tells you whether it's even a good time to be buying, and pairs every top pick with an AI-written "here's what could go wrong" note based on earnings calls, analyst forecasts, and insider trading.

Last updated
May 30, 2026
Market regime
BULLISH
Regime score
71/100
Stocks ranked
30
Click to see the six factors explained in plain English
Factor Plain English Source
Momentum (30%) Stocks up over the last year tend to keep going up — markets trend. Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993
Low Volatility (20%) Boring, steady stocks outperform risky ones on a risk-adjusted basis. Blitz & van Vliet, 2007
Gross Profitability (25%) (Revenue − COGS) / Assets — how much a company earns from its actual business, per dollar of assets owned. Novy-Marx, 2013
Free Cash Flow Yield (10%) Real cash left after all expenses / company value. Accounting profits can lie. Cash cannot. Fama & French, 2006
Low Accruals (10%) Small gap between reported earnings and actual cash collected. Wide gaps signal trouble. Sloan, 1996
Low Asset Growth (5%) Companies that expand assets slowly beat aggressive empire-builders. Titman, Wei & Xie, 2004

The Stock Picker's Playbook

Market Regime: BULLISH |  Score: 71/100 |  May 30, 2026 |  Top 30 Ranked Stocks
#TickerCompany + SectorCompositeFactor OverviewAI Analysis
1
SU
$62.36
Suncor Energy Inc.
Energy
0.9
Momentum█████+1.56
6M Mom█████+1.80
Volatility███░░-0.46
Quality█████+0.66
Value█████+1.05
Accruals█████+1.60
Inv Growth█████+0.99
Business
Suncor Energy is an integrated energy company that extracts oil from Canada's oil sands, refines it into products like gasoline and diesel, ...
Caution
Despite a perfect balance of insider buys and sells over the past six months, the sheer volume of insider selling (over 3 million shares) si...
2
ROST
$231.73
Ross Stores, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
0.7
Momentum█████+0.54
6M Mom█████+1.06
Volatility███░░-0.47
Quality█████+1.85
Value████░-0.03
Accruals█████+0.91
Inv Growth████░+0.42
Business
Ross Stores operates off-price retail chains (Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS) selling branded apparel, footwear, and home goods at 2...
Caution
Despite analyst optimism (19 buys, 0 sells), insider activity shows 14 sells totaling 104,171 shares in the last six months, and the sector ...
3
MO
$69.58
Altria Group, Inc.
Consumer Defensive
0.6
Momentum███░░-0.53
6M Mom████░+0.47
Volatility███░░-0.19
Quality█████+1.92
Value█████+0.72
Accruals█████+1.27
Inv Growth█████+1.07
Business
Altria manufactures and sells cigarettes (Marlboro, Virginia Slims) and smokeless tobacco products (Copenhagen, Skoal) in the U.S., earning ...
Caution
Despite a 6.9% dividend yield and bullish analyst price targets (e.g., SeekingAlpha's $100 in 5 years), the insider data reveals 10 net sale...
4
CMI
$646.63
Cummins Inc.
Industrials
0.6
Momentum█████+2.66
6M Mom█████+1.05
Volatility█░░░░-1.69
Quality█████+0.73
Value███░░-0.11
Accruals█████+1.59
Inv Growth████░-0.06
Business
Cummins Inc. (CMI) operates in the Industrials sector. Gross profitability of 0.3%. This reflects core business economics and competitive po...
Caution
Volatility concerning at -1.69 z-score.
5
WMT
$115.75
Walmart Inc.
Consumer Defensive
0.6
Momentum███░░-0.36
6M Mom███░░-0.67
Volatility███░░-0.40
Quality█████+3.00
Value███░░-0.34
Accruals█████+1.35
Inv Growth███░░-0.24
Business
Walmart operates a chain of discount department stores, grocery stores, and e-commerce platforms, making money primarily through selling con...
Caution
Over the past six months, insiders sold 4,247,838 shares with zero insider buys, even as 44 analysts rate the stock a buy—this heavy insider...
6
GOOGL
$380.34
Alphabet Inc.
Communication Services
0.6
Momentum█████+2.99
6M Mom████░+0.21
Volatility██░░░-1.23
Quality█████+1.19
Value███░░-0.34
Accruals█████+0.84
Inv Growth░░░░░-3.00
Business
Alphabet Inc. operates Google's search and advertising business, generates revenue from digital ads on its platforms like Search and YouTube...
Caution
Despite analyst optimism, heavy insider selling over the past six months—24 sells totaling 23,374 shares versus only 6 buys—signals that exe...
7
GOOG
$376.43
Alphabet Inc.
Communication Services
0.5
Momentum█████+2.83
6M Mom████░+0.11
Volatility██░░░-1.14
Quality█████+1.19
Value███░░-0.34
Accruals█████+0.84
Inv Growth░░░░░-3.00
Business
Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) operates as a technology conglomerate, generating the vast majority of its revenue from digital advertising through Goo...
Caution
The extreme negative investment growth z-score (-3.00) signals that Alphabet is spending heavily on assets like data centers and AI infrastr...
8
ADI
$413.85
Analog Devices, Inc.
Technology
0.5
Momentum█████+1.93
6M Mom█████+3.00
Volatility█░░░░-1.42
Quality████░-0.07
Value███░░-0.24
Accruals█████+0.78
Inv Growth█████+1.07
Business
Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) operates in the Technology sector. Gross profitability of 0.1%. This reflects core business economics and competi...
Caution
Volatility concerning at -1.42 z-score.
9
AAPL
$312.06
Apple Inc.
Technology
0.5
Momentum███░░-0.63
6M Mom███░░-0.25
Volatility████░-0.06
Quality█████+2.85
Value███░░-0.23
Accruals██░░░-1.13
Inv Growth█████+1.22
Business
Apple Inc. designs and sells smartphones, computers, wearables, and services like the App Store and iCloud, making most of its money from iP...
Caution
Despite the strong financial health score (Piotroski F-Score of 8), the near-term risk is heavy insider selling: 27 insider sales (583,723 s...
10
CAT
$875.87
Caterpillar Inc.
Industrials
0.5
Momentum█████+3.00
6M Mom█████+2.65
Volatility█░░░░-1.69
Quality██░░░-0.88
Value███░░-0.24
Accruals█████+2.14
Inv Growth███░░-0.68
Business
Caterpillar makes heavy machinery like bulldozers, excavators, and engines, selling them to construction, mining, and energy customers world...
Caution
Despite a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7, insider activity shows 23 sells totaling 104,270 shares compared to only 7 buys for 47,314 shares o...
11
GD
$346.82
General Dynamics Corporation
Industrials
0.4
Momentum███░░-0.62
6M Mom██░░░-0.94
Volatility████░+0.25
Quality█████+2.34
Value████░+0.17
Accruals███░░-0.52
Inv Growth█████+0.67
Business
General Dynamics designs and builds military vehicles, ships, submarines, and business jets for the U.S. government and international custom...
Caution
Despite strong fundamentals, the CEO and other insiders have sold 201,993 shares in the last six months—nearly three times the 73,265 shares...
12
ROK
$451.06
Rockwell Automation, Inc.
Industrials
0.4
Momentum█████+0.61
6M Mom████░-0.06
Volatility██░░░-1.15
Quality█████+1.50
Value███░░-0.12
Accruals█████+1.04
Inv Growth█████+1.02
Business
Rockwell Automation makes industrial automation hardware and software—like factory control systems and robotics—which it sells to manufactur...
Caution
Despite the strong financials, insider selling has been heavy—20 sells vs. 10 buys in the last six months, with nearly double the shares sol...
13
PBR
$18.77
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
Energy
0.4
Momentum█████+1.82
6M Mom█████+2.35
Volatility█░░░░-1.61
Quality████░+0.29
Value████░-0.06
Accruals█████+1.51
Inv Growth░░░░░-2.06
Business
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) operates in the Energy sector. Gross profitability of 0.2%. This reflects core business economics...
Caution
Volatility concerning at -1.61 z-score; Inv Growth concerning at -2.06 z-score.
14
ADM
$79.78
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Consumer Defensive
0.3
Momentum████░+0.42
6M Mom█████+1.25
Volatility██░░░-0.95
Quality███░░-0.39
Value█████+1.30
Accruals█████+1.85
Inv Growth█████+1.23
Business
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) operates in the Consumer Defensive sector. Gross profitability of 0.1%. This reflects core business eco...
Caution
Volatility concerning at -0.95 z-score.
15
LECO
$258.49
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
Industrials
0.3
Momentum████░+0.13
6M Mom███░░-0.51
Volatility██░░░-0.90
Quality█████+1.85
Value████░+0.08
Accruals████░+0.23
Inv Growth████░+0.01
Business
Lincoln Electric makes welding equipment and consumables, selling them to industrial customers like construction and energy companies, and g...
Caution
Despite the quality score, the stock appears in a Yahoo article titled '3 Profitable Stocks We Steer Clear Of,' and insider selling (14 sell...
16
STT
$155.64
State Street Corporation
Financial Services
0.3
Momentum█████+0.95
6M Mom█████+1.28
Volatility███░░-0.66
Quality██░░░-0.85
Value█████+3.00
Accruals███░░-0.22
Inv Growth█████+0.51
Business
State Street Corporation (STT) operates in the Financial Services sector. Gross profitability of 0.0%. This reflects core business economics...
Caution
Volatility concerning at -0.66 z-score; Quality concerning at -0.85 z-score.
17
CVX
$182.46
Chevron Corporation
Energy
0.2
Momentum████░+0.00
6M Mom█████+0.59
Volatility███░░-0.10
Quality█████+0.61
Value████░+0.22
Accruals█████+1.27
Inv Growth░░░░░-2.56
Business
Chevron explores for, produces, transports, and refines crude oil and natural gas, making money by selling these commodities at global marke...
Caution
Despite analyst consensus being bullish (23 buys), the insider activity shows heavy net selling—17 sells totaling 762,180 shares versus only...
18
APG
$41.00
APi Group Corporation
Industrials
0.2
Momentum█████+1.04
6M Mom██░░░-0.82
Volatility██░░░-1.10
Quality█████+0.93
Value████░+0.04
Accruals█████+0.72
Inv Growth███░░-0.31
Business
APi Group provides safety, specialty, and industrial services, including fire protection, security, and facility maintenance, to commercial ...
Caution
Despite 14 analyst buy ratings, insider selling has outpaced buying by nearly 3:1 over the past six months (241,921 shares sold vs. 72,803 b...
19
MPC
$248.77
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Energy
0.2
Momentum█████+1.14
6M Mom█████+1.05
Volatility█░░░░-1.57
Quality████░+0.05
Value█████+0.72
Accruals█████+0.68
Inv Growth████░+0.12
Business
Marathon Petroleum is a refiner that turns crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and other fuels; it also owns a large network of gas stations, a...
Caution
Despite the strong buy analyst consensus, insider activity shows 20 sells versus only 10 buys over the last six months—insiders have sold 10...
20
NSC
$304.96
Norfolk Southern Corporation
Industrials
0.2
Momentum███░░-0.14
6M Mom██░░░-0.71
Volatility█████+0.52
Quality█████+0.52
Value████░-0.09
Accruals████░+0.08
Inv Growth█████+0.52
Business
Norfolk Southern operates a major freight railroad across the eastern U.S., moving goods like coal, chemicals, and intermodal containers for...
Caution
Despite a decent Piotroski F-Score of 6, insider activity over the last six months shows 2 sells totaling 11,566 shares but 28 buys of only ...
21
PSX
$175.88
Phillips 66
Energy
0.1
Momentum█████+0.95
6M Mom█████+1.16
Volatility█░░░░-1.36
Quality█████+0.51
Value████░+0.22
Accruals██░░░-0.81
Inv Growth█████+0.80
Business
Phillips 66 (PSX) operates in the Energy sector. Gross profitability of 0.2%. This reflects core business economics and competitive position...
Caution
Volatility concerning at -1.36 z-score; Accruals concerning at -0.81 z-score.
22
HST
$22.98
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
Real Estate
0.1
Momentum████░+0.30
6M Mom█████+1.24
Volatility███░░-0.53
Quality██░░░-0.88
Value█████+1.27
Accruals█████+0.93
Inv Growth█████+1.00
Business
Host Hotels & Resorts is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and operates a portfolio of upscale and luxury hotels, primarily un...
Caution
Despite insider buying outnumbering selling by share count, Benzinga explicitly named Host Hotels as one of the top two real estate stocks t...
23
BKR
$63.88
Baker Hughes Company
Energy
0.1
Momentum█████+1.65
6M Mom█████+0.98
Volatility█░░░░-1.66
Quality███░░-0.30
Value████░+0.27
Accruals████░-0.03
Inv Growth████░+0.11
Business
Baker Hughes provides equipment and services for oil and gas drilling, completion, and production, making money by selling or renting hardwa...
Caution
Despite a high Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicating solid financial health, the composite quant score is a rock-bottom 0.1/10, and insider acti...
24
UNP
$262.64
Union Pacific Corporation
Industrials
0.0
Momentum███░░-0.65
6M Mom████░-0.03
Volatility████░+0.10
Quality█████+0.52
Value████░-0.05
Accruals████░+0.01
Inv Growth█████+0.61
Business
Union Pacific operates one of the largest freight rail networks in the U.S., moving goods like coal, grain, chemicals, and autos across the ...
Caution
Despite a pristine Piotroski F-Score of 7, the stock's negative momentum (z-score -0.65) and weak value (z-score -0.05) suggest traders are ...
25
CTVA
$78.28
Corteva, Inc.
Basic Materials
0.0
Momentum███░░-0.52
6M Mom████░+0.14
Volatility███░░-0.39
Quality████░+0.30
Value████░+0.30
Accruals█████+0.82
Inv Growth████░+0.33
Business
Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) operates in the Basic Materials sector. Gross profitability of 0.2%. This reflects core business economics and competit...
Caution
Momentum concerning at -0.52 z-score.
26
NUE
$250.00
Nucor Corporation
Basic Materials
0.0
Momentum█████+1.36
6M Mom█████+2.99
Volatility█░░░░-1.52
Quality██░░░-0.96
Value██░░░-0.75
Accruals████░+0.41
Inv Growth█████+0.54
Business
Nucor Corporation manufactures steel and steel products, generating revenue by selling rebar, sheet steel, and beams to construction, automo...
Caution
Insiders have sold 229,425 shares in the last six months while buying only 98,715—a clear net selling pattern—and the composite quant score ...
27
WMB
$71.39
The Williams Companies, Inc.
Energy
0.0
Momentum███░░-0.44
6M Mom████░+0.31
Volatility███░░-0.30
Quality████░+0.32
Value███░░-0.43
Accruals█████+0.89
Inv Growth████░-0.01
Business
Williams owns and operates natural gas pipelines and processing plants, making money by transporting and processing natural gas for utilitie...
Caution
Despite a majority of analyst buy ratings and balanced insider activity, the composite quant score is 0.0, and the Momentum and Value z-scor...
28
JCI
$134.06
Johnson Controls International plc
Industrials
0.0
Momentum█████+0.85
6M Mom████░-0.03
Volatility██░░░-0.90
Quality█████+0.55
Value███░░-0.19
Accruals█░░░░-1.76
Inv Growth█████+1.45
Business
Johnson Controls provides building products like HVAC systems, fire safety equipment, and security solutions for commercial buildings, makin...
Caution
Heavy insider selling—20 sells totaling 178,410 shares versus only 10 buys for 73,051 shares over the past six months—suggests those closest...
29
KO
$79.01
The Coca-Cola Company
Consumer Defensive
-0.0
Momentum██░░░-1.16
6M Mom███░░-0.44
Volatility█████+1.51
Quality█████+0.95
Value███░░-0.37
Accruals░░░░░-2.70
Inv Growth████░+0.43
Business
The Coca-Cola Company (KO) operates in the Consumer Defensive sector. Gross profitability of 0.3%. This reflects core business economics and...
Caution
Momentum concerning at -1.16 z-score; Accruals concerning at -2.70 z-score.
30
KIM
$24.08
Kimco Realty Corporation
Real Estate
-0.0
Momentum██░░░-0.77
6M Mom████░+0.25
Volatility█████+1.10
Quality██░░░-0.88
Value████░+0.31
Accruals███░░-0.12
Inv Growth█████+1.42
Business
Kimco Realty is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and operates open-air shopping centers, primarily anchored by grocery stores...
Caution
Despite the stable headlines, insider selling has been persistent: in the last six months, insiders sold 139,736 shares while buying only 43...
Step 3 · The bigger picture

Where each dollar should go, in order

Which fund you pick matters less than which account holds it. The list below walks through where to put each dollar — emergency fund, employer match, HSA, Roth IRA, and so on — based on 2026 IRS limits. Tap any tier to expand.

  1. Three to six months of essential expenses in a high-yield savings account. Without a cash buffer, a single emergency forces you to sell investments at a loss or take on penalty-laden withdrawals. This is insurance, not investing.

    Pay off anything above ~7–8% APR. Eliminating a 20% credit card balance is a guaranteed, risk-free 20% return — better than any investment can promise. Sub-5% debt (mortgages, federal student loans) can coexist with investing.

  2. A 50% match is an instant 50% return; a 100% match doubles your money the day it lands. Contribute enough to capture every dollar your employer offers — no other investment guarantees that kind of upside.

    2026 limits: $24,500 employee deferral. Age 50+ catch-up: +$8,000. Ages 60–63 super catch-up: +$11,250. Combined employee + employer cap: $72,000.

    New for 2026: if you earned over $150,000 in FICA wages the prior year, catch-up contributions must be made on a Roth basis.

  3. Contributions go in pre-tax, growth is tax-free, and qualified medical withdrawals are tax-free. After age 65 you can pull money out for any purpose at ordinary income rates — effectively a second IRA.

    2026 limits: $4,400 individual / $8,750 family. Age 55+ catch-up: +$1,000.

    The move most people miss: pay current medical bills out of pocket, save the receipts, and invest the HSA balance like a retirement account. You can reimburse yourself decades later, tax-free.

  4. Unlike a 401(k), the Roth IRA has no required minimum distributions and lets you withdraw contributions (not earnings) anytime without penalty. That makes it both a retirement vehicle and a flexible long-term reserve.

    2026 Roth IRA limits: $7,500 ($8,600 age 50+). Income phase-out: single $153k–$168k MAGI; married filing jointly $242k–$252k MAGI.

    Earn too much? Use the Backdoor Roth — contribute non-deductible to a Traditional IRA, then convert immediately. Watch the pro-rata rule if you already hold pre-tax IRA balances.

  5. Once the match and Roth IRA are handled, return to the 401(k) and fill it to the $24,500 employee deferral cap. Even at Roth-401(k) rates the account shelters far more than any IRA can.

    Choose Roth 401(k) if you're early-career and expect to be in the same or higher tax bracket later; choose pre-tax if you're peak-earnings and expect to draw the money down at lower rates.

  6. ESPP: a 10–15% discount with a lookback provision can produce a 20–30% instant return. Sell immediately on purchase — your salary already exposes you to your employer; don't let your investments do it too.

    Mega Backdoor Roth: if your 401(k) allows after-tax contributions plus in-plan Roth conversions, you can stuff the difference between your contributions + match and the $72,000 total cap straight into Roth. Often the single largest move available to high earners.

  7. Once tax-advantaged space is full, the taxable account is where real long-term wealth compounds. Hold broad-market index funds and ETFs to keep distributions low, harvest losses against gains, and use the long-term capital gains rate (0%, 15%, or 20%) by holding more than a year.

    Place bond funds and REITs inside tax-advantaged accounts when possible — they generate ordinary income that hurts most in a taxable account.

  8. Secure your own oxygen mask first. Children have access to loans, scholarships, and work-study; underfunding retirement turns you into a financial burden on them later. If your state offers a 529 tax deduction, contribute at least enough to capture it.

    SECURE 2.0 update: unused 529 funds can roll over to the beneficiary's Roth IRA — account open 15+ years, $35,000 lifetime cap, subject to annual Roth IRA limits.

  9. I Bonds adjust with inflation and are backed by the U.S. Treasury, capped at $10,000 per person per year. EE Bonds double in value if held 20 years. Both work as extensions of the emergency fund or near-term savings goals.

    After all of that — pay down low-interest debt as you choose, and spend on the experiences and giving that make the wealth worth building in the first place. Money is a tool, not a score.

2026 IRS limits, general guidance only. Not financial advice — a fiduciary advisor can sanity-check your specific situation.