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The Long-Term Investor's Blueprint

See which funds to buy, how much to put in each, and which investment accounts to prioritize first.

All free, all evidence-based, no upsell. Educational only β€” not investment advice. Always verify before making decisions.

Step 1 Β· Build your foundation with index funds

Most of your money belongs in index funds

For typical investors, 80–95% of investment dollars should sit in low-cost, broadly diversified index funds. Over any 20-year stretch the S&P 500 has beaten most actively managed funds after fees. Tell the builder four things and it will draft your target mix using the 120-minus-age and 65/35 domestic/international guidelines Vanguard and Fidelity use for their target-date funds.

25 years
Asset class Target Ticker Dollars

Rebalance once a year, or whenever a sleeve drifts more than five percentage points from its target. The simplest way: direct new contributions toward whatever's underweight.

Step 2 Β· Pick individual stocks (optional)

A nightly screen for the stocks you want to pick yourself

Stock picking is for the small slice of your portfolio where you want to be hands-on β€” usually no more than 5–10% of what you invest. Only pick a stock if you have a real reason: you understand the business better than the market does, you want exposure to a kind of company that index funds blend away, or you just want a small practice account. The screen below starts with 500+ U.S. stocks every night, keeps the 100 strongest on momentum and steadiness, and scores those on six research-backed factors. It filters out financially shaky companies, tells you whether it's even a good time to be buying, and pairs every top pick with an AI-written "here's what could go wrong" note based on analyst forecasts, insider trading, and recent news. It also grades itself: each night it logs its top ten picks, then reports how past picks actually did 30 days later.

Last updated
August 29, 2026
Market regime
BULLISH
Regime score
75/100
Top picks shown
30
Data coverage
526of 533 stocks
Click to see the six factors explained in plain English
Factor Plain English Source
Momentum (30%) Stocks up over the last year tend to keep going up β€” markets trend. Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993
Low Volatility (20%) Boring, steady stocks outperform risky ones on a risk-adjusted basis. Blitz & van Vliet, 2007
Gross Profitability (25%) (Revenue βˆ’ COGS) / Assets β€” how much a company earns from its actual business, per dollar of assets owned. Novy-Marx, 2013
Free Cash Flow Yield (10%) Real cash left after all expenses / company value. Accounting profits can lie. Cash cannot. Lakonishok, Shleifer & Vishny, 1994
Low Accruals (10%) Small gap between reported earnings and actual cash collected. Wide gaps signal trouble. Sloan, 1996
Low Asset Growth (5%) Companies that expand assets slowly beat aggressive empire-builders. Cooper, Gulen & Schill, 2008

The Long-Term Investor's Blueprint

Market Regime: BULLISH |  Score: 75/100 |  August 29, 2026 |  Top 30 Ranked Stocks
Past picks, measured: across 29 screens, the top-10 picks averaged -0.7% in the 30 days after each screen vs +2.0% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
#TickerCompany + SectorCompositeFactor OverviewAI Analysis
1
ROST
$228.55
Ross Stores, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
+1.0
Momentum█████+2.24
6M Mom████░+0.27
Volatility██░░░-0.75
Quality█████+2.16
Value████░-0.09
Accruals█████+0.97
Inv Growth████░+0.35
Business
Ross Stores operates off-price retail chains (Ross Dress for Less and DD's Discounts), selling brand-name apparel, footwear, and home goods ...
Caution
Despite the bullish analyst consensus (19 buys, no sells), insider activity shows more sellers than buyers by share count (84,225 sold vs. 4...
2
AAPL
$319.70
Apple Inc.
Technology
+0.7
Momentum█████+0.53
6M Mom█████+0.79
Volatility███░░-0.55
Quality█████+3.00
Value███░░-0.34
Accruals██░░░-1.05
Inv Growth█████+1.20
Business
Apple designs and sells iPhones, Macs, iPads, and services like iCloud and Apple Music, making most of its money from hardware sales plus a ...
Caution
Insider activity is heavily one-sided β€” 28 insider sells totaling 553,284 shares versus just 2 small buys (12,645 shares) in the last six mo...
3
SU
$65.43
Suncor Energy Inc.
Energy
+0.7
Momentum█████+1.65
6M Mom████░+0.37
Volatility██░░░-0.84
Quality█████+0.86
Value█████+1.07
Accruals█████+1.65
Inv Growth█████+0.96
Business
Suncor Energy is an integrated oil company that extracts crude oil from Canada's oil sands, refines it into products like gasoline and diese...
Caution
A looming bear case is the sector-specific risk from oil price volatility, as noted in the headline about rising prices due to an Iran cease...
4
MPC
$368.83
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Energy
+0.6
Momentum█████+2.44
6M Mom█████+3.00
Volatility█░░░░-1.56
Quality████░+0.21
Value████░+0.22
Accruals█████+0.74
Inv Growth████░+0.05
Business
Marathon Petroleum is a large oil refiner that turns crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and other fuels, making money on the margin between wh...
Caution
Despite the strong momentum, insider activity shows 19 sells versus 11 buys over the last six months, with insiders selling more than twice ...
5
TGT
$163.18
Target Corporation
Consumer Defensive
+0.6
Momentum█████+0.57
6M Mom█████+2.57
Volatility█░░░░-1.36
Quality█████+1.72
Value████░-0.03
Accruals█████+0.67
Inv Growth█████+0.55
Business
Target runs a chain of large discount stores across the U.S., selling groceries, household goods, clothing, and electronics, and makes money...
Caution
Insiders have been net sellers over the past six months (17 sells vs. 13 buys, with 53,000 more shares sold than bought), and the company ju...
6
STT
$193.33
State Street Corporation
Financial Services
+0.6
Momentum█████+1.46
6M Mom█████+2.87
Volatility███░░-0.48
Quality██░░░-0.78
Value█████+3.00
Accruals███░░-0.15
Inv Growth████░+0.45
Business
State Street is a financial services firm that makes money primarily as a custodian bank and asset manager, holding and servicing trillions ...
Caution
Insider activity over the past six months shows more than three times as many shares sold (79,095) as bought (21,847), with 16 sells versus ...
7
PSX
$244.01
Phillips 66
Energy
+0.5
Momentum█████+1.85
6M Mom█████+3.00
Volatility█░░░░-1.38
Quality█████+0.71
Value████░+0.08
Accruals██░░░-0.73
Inv Growth█████+0.76
Business
Phillips 66 is a diversified energy company that refines crude oil into fuels like gasoline and diesel, and also transports, stores, and mar...
Caution
The big red flag is insider sellingβ€”22 insider sells (206,613 shares) versus only 8 buys (93,234 shares) in the last six months, which sugge...
8
GD
$379.32
General Dynamics Corporation
Industrials
+0.5
Momentum███░░-0.61
6M Mom███░░-0.32
Volatility████░+0.11
Quality█████+2.70
Value████░+0.03
Accruals███░░-0.45
Inv Growth█████+0.62
Business
General Dynamics makes money by designing and selling military equipment like tanks, submarines, and combat vehicles to governments, plus bu...
Caution
Insider selling is significantβ€”23 sellers dumped 514,248 shares over the past six months, while only 7 insiders bought 258,440 shares (likel...
9
HST
$22.28
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
Real Estate
+0.5
Momentum█████+1.65
6M Mom█████+0.63
Volatility███░░-0.45
Quality███░░-0.56
Value█████+1.40
Accruals█████+0.98
Inv Growth█████+0.97
Business
Host Hotels & Resorts is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and operates upscale and luxury hotels, making money primarily thro...
Caution
Despite the positive analyst consensus (15 buy, 10 hold), insiders have been net sellers over the past six monthsβ€”5 sells totaling 134,359 s...
10
GOOGL
$346.59
Alphabet Inc.
Communication Services
+0.4
Momentum█████+2.27
6M Mom████░+0.26
Volatility█░░░░-1.56
Quality█████+1.45
Value███░░-0.43
Accruals█████+0.90
Inv Growth░░░░░-3.00
Business
Alphabet makes money primarily through Google advertising (search, YouTube, and network ads), plus cloud services and subscription products ...
Caution
The biggest red flag is the extremely negative inventory growth z-score (-3.00), which signals a dramatic slowdown in capital spendingβ€”likel...
11
ITW
$280.10
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Industrials
+0.4
Momentum██░░░-1.10
6M Mom██░░░-0.84
Volatility████░+0.28
Quality█████+3.00
Value████░-0.10
Accruals██░░░-0.87
Inv Growth████░-0.06
Business
Illinois Tool Works makes a huge variety of industrial products and equipment, like fasteners, welding gear, and food equipment, and it earn...
Caution
The biggest red flag is that analysts are heavily tilted to sell (9 sells vs. 2 buys) and only 13 hold, suggesting the Street sees limited u...
12
ADM
$81.54
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Consumer Defensive
+0.3
Momentum█████+0.61
6M Mom█████+0.63
Volatility██░░░-0.86
Quality███░░-0.28
Value█████+1.33
Accruals█████+1.90
Inv Growth█████+1.21
Business
ADM is an agricultural commodities giant that buys, processes, and transports crops like corn, soybeans, and wheat, making money by charging...
Caution
The biggest red flag is that 17 of 27 analysts rate the stock a sell or hold, with only 2 buysβ€”a stark contrast to the positive headlines ab...
13
IEX
$230.28
IDEX Corporation
Industrials
+0.3
Momentum████░+0.23
6M Mom████░+0.01
Volatility████░+0.02
Quality█████+0.72
Value████░-0.03
Accruals████░-0.01
Inv Growth█████+0.59
Business
IDEX Corporation makes and sells specialized industrial equipment like pumps, fluid-handling systems, and fire safety products, earning mone...
Caution
Despite a high Piotroski score and analyst upgrades, insiders have net sold more shares (31,540 sold vs. 21,635 bought) over the last six mo...
14
FRT
$116.75
Federal Realty Investment Trust
Real Estate
+0.2
Momentum████░+0.11
6M Mom███░░-0.11
Volatility█████+1.82
Quality███░░-0.56
Value████░+0.19
Accruals███░░-0.20
Inv Growth███░░-0.21
Business
Federal Realty is a real estate investment trust that owns and operates open-air shopping centers and mixed-use properties, primarily on the...
Caution
The biggest red flag is that insiders have sold nearly as many shares as they bought (39,217 sold vs 38,377 bought), and with zero sell rati...
15
AIZ
$285.65
Assurant, Inc.
Financial Services
+0.2
Momentum█████+0.62
6M Mom█████+0.91
Volatility████░+0.01
Quality██░░░-0.78
Value█████+1.82
Accruals████░-0.08
Inv Growth████░+0.45
Business
Assurant sells insurance and protection products, like mobile phone coverage, renters insurance, and loan protection, and makes money from p...
Caution
Insider activity over the last six months shows 52,552 shares sold versus only 28,061 bought β€” that's nearly double the selling β€” which is a...
16
KO
$89.66
The Coca-Cola Company
Consumer Defensive
+0.2
Momentum███░░-0.26
6M Mom████░+0.26
Volatility█████+1.05
Quality█████+1.19
Value███░░-0.53
Accruals░░░░░-2.60
Inv Growth████░+0.37
Business
Coca-Cola makes money by selling concentrates, syrups, and finished beverages to bottlers and retailers worldwide, with a massive portfolio ...
Caution
Despite no analyst downgrades (27 buy / 8 hold / 0 sell), insider activity shows 20 sells vs. 10 buys over the last six months, with 1.08 mi...
17
CVX
$201.86
Chevron Corporation
Energy
+0.1
Momentum███░░-0.14
6M Mom████░-0.08
Volatility███░░-0.23
Quality█████+0.82
Value████░+0.09
Accruals█████+1.32
Inv Growth░░░░░-2.78
Business
Chevron is a global oil and gas giant that makes money by finding, extracting, and refining crude oil and natural gas, selling fuels, lubric...
Caution
Insider activity shows 19 sells totaling 3.8 million shares versus 11 buys of 1.18 million sharesβ€”that’s over three times more selling than ...
18
LH
$335.11
Labcorp Holdings Inc.
Healthcare
+0.1
Momentum██░░░-0.85
6M Mom█████+0.56
Volatility███░░-0.20
Quality█████+0.68
Value████░+0.05
Accruals████░+0.44
Inv Growth█████+0.96
Business
Labcorp is a medical testing company that makes money by processing blood, urine, and other samples for doctors, hospitals, and patients, pl...
Caution
Despite 21 buys from insiders (13,995 shares), the 21 sells (22,875 shares) are larger in total volume, and six-month momentum is still nega...
19
UNP
$307.41
Union Pacific Corporation
Industrials
+0.1
Momentum███░░-0.17
6M Mom████░+0.43
Volatility████░+0.11
Quality████░+0.27
Value███░░-0.22
Accruals████░+0.07
Inv Growth█████+0.55
Business
Union Pacific is a railroad company that moves freightβ€”like grain, coal, chemicals, and consumer goodsβ€”across the western United States, and...
Caution
Even though analysts are broadly positive (21 buys, 0 sells), the stock's value score is negative (-0.22) and momentum is slightly negative ...
20
TRV
$369.90
The Travelers Companies, Inc.
Financial Services
+0.1
Momentum████░+0.38
6M Mom█████+0.72
Volatility████░+0.45
Quality██░░░-0.78
Value█████+0.69
Accruals████░+0.04
Inv Growth███░░-0.16
Business
Travelers is a property and casualty insurance company that makes money by collecting premiums from individuals and businesses in exchange f...
Caution
Insider activity is skewed heavily to sellingβ€”21 sells (111,384 shares) versus only 9 buys (54,192 shares) over the last six monthsβ€”and whil...
21
ABBV
$255.48
AbbVie Inc.
Healthcare
+0.1
Momentum████░-0.06
6M Mom████░+0.09
Volatility██░░░-0.76
Quality███░░-0.33
Value████░-0.01
Accruals█████+2.83
Inv Growth█████+1.10
Business
AbbVie makes money primarily by selling specialty drugs, led by immunology treatments like Humira and Skyrizi, plus oncology and neuroscienc...
Caution
Despite the strong financials, insider activity shows 4 sells versus 16 buys β€” but the sells were nearly double the buys in share count (23,...
22
NUE
$250.50
Nucor Corporation
Basic Materials
+0.1
Momentum█████+2.09
6M Mom█████+2.07
Volatility█░░░░-1.46
Quality██░░░-0.90
Value██░░░-0.91
Accruals████░+0.47
Inv Growth████░+0.48
Business
Nucor makes steel by recycling scrap metal in electric arc furnaces, selling steel products, sheets, bars, and beams to construction, automo...
Caution
Despite strong momentum, the stock is expensive (value z-score -0.91) and has poor quality (quality z-score -0.90), and insiders have been n...
23
SNA
$391.86
Snap-on Incorporated
Industrials
+0.1
Momentum███░░-0.32
6M Mom███░░-0.53
Volatility█████+0.62
Quality█████+0.67
Value███░░-0.17
Accruals██░░░-0.73
Inv Growth████░+0.04
Business
Snap-on makes and sells high-end tools, diagnostics equipment, and repair software for professional mechanics and technicians, earning money...
Caution
Insider activity shows 21 sells versus 9 buys in the last six months, a clear signal that executives are cashing out nearly twice as many sh...
24
PBR
$18.53
PetrΓ³leo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
Energy
+0.1
Momentum█████+0.92
6M Mom████░+0.15
Volatility█░░░░-1.52
Quality████░+0.47
Value████░+0.07
Accruals█████+1.56
Inv Growth░░░░░-2.25
Business
Petrobras is Brazil's state-controlled oil and gas giant, extracting and refining crude oil and selling fuels like gasoline and diesel, plus...
Caution
The biggest red flag is the heavy insider selling: 6 insider sells (23,473 shares) versus just 1 insignificant buy (1,000 shares) over the p...
25
KIM
$23.78
Kimco Realty Corporation
Real Estate
+0.1
Momentum███░░-0.59
6M Mom███░░-0.44
Volatility█████+1.33
Quality███░░-0.56
Value████░+0.28
Accruals████░-0.06
Inv Growth█████+1.42
Business
Kimco Realty owns and leases open-air shopping centers (strip malls) to retail tenants like grocery stores, discount chains, and restaurants...
Caution
Analyst sentiment is mixed with 14 holds and only a $26 price target from JPMorgan, while momentum is negative (z-scores -0.59 and -0.44), s...
26
NSC
$348.68
Norfolk Southern Corporation
Industrials
+0.1
Momentum██░░░-0.72
6M Mom████░+0.09
Volatility█████+0.55
Quality████░+0.27
Value███░░-0.25
Accruals████░+0.14
Inv Growth████░+0.46
Business
Norfolk Southern is a major U.S. freight railroad that moves goods like coal, chemicals, and consumer products across the eastern half of th...
Caution
Insider activity shows a clear split: 29 small buys totaling 2,182 shares versus one bigger sell of 8,319 shares, meaning insiders are net s...
27
MAR
$351.08
Marriott International, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
+0.0
Momentum████░+0.21
6M Mom███░░-0.20
Volatility██░░░-0.87
Quality█████+0.90
Value███░░-0.21
Accruals███░░-0.23
Inv Growth████░+0.23
Business
Marriott operates a global portfolio of hotels and resorts, making money primarily through franchise fees, licensing, and management contrac...
Caution
Insider activity shows 6 sells (28,090 shares) versus 22 small buys, so net insider selling is a caution flag, and the stock’s weak volatili...
28
GL
$172.79
Globe Life Inc.
Financial Services
-0.0
Momentum███░░-0.35
6M Mom█████+0.63
Volatility█████+0.55
Quality██░░░-0.72
Value█████+1.08
Accruals██░░░-0.73
Inv Growth████░+0.12
Business
Globe Life Inc. is an insurance holding company that sells life insurance and supplemental health insurance, primarily to middle-income Amer...
Caution
Despite 18 buy ratings, insider activity shows heavy sellingβ€”23 sells (329,881 shares) versus only 7 buys (156,650 shares) in the last six m...
29
USB
$62.47
U.S. Bancorp
Financial Services
-0.1
Momentum████░+0.36
6M Mom████░+0.48
Volatility████░+0.09
Quality██░░░-0.78
Value█████+0.69
Accruals██░░░-0.98
Inv Growth█████+0.68
Business
U.S. Bancorp is a regional bank that makes money primarily from net interest income on loans and deposits, plus fees from payment processing...
Caution
Accruals quality is poor (z -0.98) and quality is weak (z -0.78), indicating earnings may be inflated by non-cash items, and while insider b...
30
PSA
$313.51
Public Storage
Real Estate
-0.1
Momentum███░░-0.66
6M Mom███░░-0.46
Volatility███░░-0.11
Quality███░░-0.25
Value████░+0.19
Accruals█████+1.41
Inv Growth█████+0.65
Business
Public Storage operates self-storage facilities, renting out units to individuals and businesses, and makes money through rental income and ...
Caution
Insider activity shows 7 sells versus 23 buys, but the sell volume (127,026 shares) far exceeds buy volume (78,158 shares), signaling that i...
Step 3 Β· Put your money in the right accounts

Where each dollar should go, in order

Which fund you pick matters less than which account holds it. The list below walks through where to put each dollar β€” emergency fund, employer match, HSA, Roth IRA, and so on β€” based on 2026 IRS limits. Tap any tier to expand.

  1. Three to six months of essential expenses in a high-yield savings account. Without a cash buffer, a single emergency forces you to sell investments at a loss or take on penalty-laden withdrawals. This is insurance, not investing.

    Pay off anything above ~7–8% APR. Eliminating a 20% credit card balance is a guaranteed, risk-free 20% return β€” better than any investment can promise. Sub-5% debt (mortgages, federal student loans) can coexist with investing.

  2. A 50% match is an instant 50% return; a 100% match doubles your money the day it lands. Contribute enough to capture every dollar your employer offers β€” no other investment guarantees that kind of upside.

    2026 limits: $24,500 employee deferral. Age 50+ catch-up: +$8,000. Ages 60–63 super catch-up: +$11,250. Combined employee + employer cap: $72,000.

    New for 2026: if you earned over $150,000 in FICA wages the prior year, catch-up contributions must be made on a Roth basis.

  3. Contributions go in pre-tax, growth is tax-free, and qualified medical withdrawals are tax-free. After age 65 you can pull money out for any purpose at ordinary income rates β€” effectively a second IRA.

    2026 limits: $4,400 individual / $8,750 family. Age 55+ catch-up: +$1,000.

    The move most people miss: pay current medical bills out of pocket, save the receipts, and invest the HSA balance like a retirement account. You can reimburse yourself decades later, tax-free.

  4. Unlike a 401(k), the Roth IRA has no required minimum distributions and lets you withdraw contributions (not earnings) anytime without penalty. That makes it both a retirement vehicle and a flexible long-term reserve.

    2026 Roth IRA limits: $7,500 ($8,600 age 50+). Income phase-out: single $153k–$168k MAGI; married filing jointly $242k–$252k MAGI.

    Earn too much? Use the Backdoor Roth β€” contribute non-deductible to a Traditional IRA, then convert immediately. Watch the pro-rata rule if you already hold pre-tax IRA balances.

  5. Once the match and Roth IRA are handled, return to the 401(k) and fill it to the $24,500 employee deferral cap. Even at Roth-401(k) rates the account shelters far more than any IRA can.

    Choose Roth 401(k) if you're early-career and expect to be in the same or higher tax bracket later; choose pre-tax if you're peak-earnings and expect to draw the money down at lower rates.

  6. ESPP: a 10–15% discount with a lookback provision can produce a 20–30% instant return. Sell immediately on purchase β€” your salary already exposes you to your employer; don't let your investments do it too.

    Mega Backdoor Roth: if your 401(k) allows after-tax contributions plus in-plan Roth conversions, you can stuff the difference between your contributions + match and the $72,000 total cap straight into Roth. Often the single largest move available to high earners.

  7. Once tax-advantaged space is full, the taxable account is where real long-term wealth compounds. Hold broad-market index funds and ETFs to keep distributions low, harvest losses against gains, and use the long-term capital gains rate (0%, 15%, or 20%) by holding more than a year.

    Place bond funds and REITs inside tax-advantaged accounts when possible β€” they generate ordinary income that hurts most in a taxable account.

  8. Secure your own oxygen mask first. Children have access to loans, scholarships, and work-study; underfunding retirement turns you into a financial burden on them later. If your state offers a 529 tax deduction, contribute at least enough to capture it.

    SECURE 2.0 update: unused 529 funds can roll over to the beneficiary's Roth IRA β€” account open 15+ years, $35,000 lifetime cap, subject to annual Roth IRA limits.

  9. I Bonds adjust with inflation and are backed by the U.S. Treasury, capped at $10,000 per person per year. EE Bonds double in value if held 20 years. Both work as extensions of the emergency fund or near-term savings goals.

    After all of that β€” pay down low-interest debt as you choose, and spend on the experiences and giving that make the wealth worth building in the first place. Money is a tool, not a score.

2026 IRS limits, general guidance only. Not financial advice β€” a fiduciary advisor can sanity-check your specific situation.